Usually, I love to back up my handicaps with facts but my leadoff pick is strictly a gut one as well as based on trends. Was anyone impressed with the Pats win last week? I wasn’t. They weren’t great against the Jets either. I think this is the year that if the Pats have to go to KC or somewhere else with a tough crowd, they could fall in the AFC championship. In come the LA Chargers, who finally got their first “home” win against a dogshit Denver offense. Phillip Rivers who can backdoor a cover like the best of them (seriously, how is there not a gay bar named Backdoor Cover? Come on Mets fans, someone can make a lot of money with that!) is getting 7.5 against the worst ranked Pats defense. Yes, I know NE is typically tough at home and yes, their D has been better of late. Yes, I know Rivers can wave his magic wand and make a pick 6 appear on the board with less than 2 minutes week. Yes, I know that this is a west coast team playing on the east coast at 1pm. But any gambler knows you’re playing the number, not the team. 7.5 points is that special number. The Chargers D is pretty good and I just see them hanging tough tomorrow. The best stat I can give you is that the Chargers are 12-4-1 ATS on the road. Jump on it now before it drops!