My best guess this year is somewhere below 2009. I don't believe that we will see the same trend as happened in 2013. We had seen an early fast start dogged by storm after storm after storm which was keeping things cool. As soon as the full strength of the sun dropped at all, things stalled. Personally I don't see that we've had that this year. OK it has not been a year conducive to melt, but, then again, give it a few weeks and we'll be below any year before 2007.